The China-Cambodia Question: Navigating the "Seas" of Influence

Imagine China as a big investor who's been pouring loads of money into Cambodia, especially in places like the capital, Phnom Penh, and port cities like Sihanoukville. Meanwhile, picture two Japanese navy ships, the Suzunami and Shimakaze, with about 200 sailors each, pulling into Sihanoukville port. And there's this major renovation happening at the nearby Ream Naval Base, with China lending a hand.

So, why are the Japanese ships there? Well, Japan wants to show that it's still a player in Southeast Asia. They're all about supporting an "open and free" Indo-Pacific area. But, here's the twist: China has been stepping up its game too, especially with projects like the Belt and Road Initiative, which is basically connecting countries economically. Japan is a bit nervous about its safety, so it's trying to cozy up to Cambodia to ensure security.

Japan has been working on this for quite some time. Back in 2022, the Japanese Prime Minister sat down with Hun Manet, who was in line to become Cambodia's leader, to chat about security teamwork. Japan has a solid history of getting along well with Cambodia, even helping out during a peacekeeping mission in the 1990s.

But, here's the challenge: even though Japan is putting in the effort, it's tough to compete with China's influence in Cambodia. Recently, the Cambodian leader talked about deepening military cooperation with China, covering stuff like mine clearance and training.

China's not sitting idle either. In 2023, a top Chinese military leader made a grand visit to Cambodia, showing off their tight bond. This makes things tricky for Japan, especially since there's no guarantee that Cambodia won't let Chinese ships use the new naval base they're building.

From a big-picture perspective, China's keen interest in Cambodia connects directly to its security concerns, especially in the tumultuous waters of the South China Sea where tensions brew with countries like Vietnam, Taiwan, and the Philippines. China's eye on Cambodia isn't just about cozying up; it's about securing its stake in disputed territories like the Spratly Islands, which are rich in oil and natural gas.

Picture this: if something heated flares up in the South China Sea, say, involving Taiwan, China might see Cambodia as a key spot to launch a strategic response due to its access to the sea. Similarly, when piracy or threats to Chinese vessels arise, having the ability to swiftly deploy warships from Cambodia to protect their interests, especially en route to the Gulf of Aden, fits right into China's broader strategic game plan.

Japan's got a bit of a tough road ahead. They're talking with Cambodia about working together on cybersecurity, but it's nowhere near the military teamwork China has going on. Japan's just going to have to keep at it, building relationships until something changes.